Published
4 years agoon
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News ReleaseIf you had asked me three weeks ago if U.S. Rep. Liz Cheney was beatable in her quest for reelection in 2022, I would have said “no way.”
Today, the landscape has shifted.
Former President Donald Trump has retaken charge of the national Republican Party. He did that at the big CPAC meeting Feb. 28.
From that podium, he singled out Cheney as a “war-monger” and made it clear he is holding a world-class grudge against Wyoming’s sole U.S. Representative. Nobody holds a grudge better than Trump and he is putting Liz into a special category. Like a crazed pit bull, he says he is coming for her.
When the U. S. House voted to impeach Trump in January, just ten Republicans joined their 222 Democrat counterparts voting in favor. Cheney was the most prominent and has been vocal since then in defending her vote.
Trump is not alone in his disdain for Cheney. Almost half of Wyoming’s county Republican committees have censured Cheney (plus the state committee) and some even demanded she resign.
Trump wants to make an example out of his war with Cheney. Wyoming will be that battleground.
So, could the normally unbeatable Liz Cheney be defeated in 2022? It all comes down to Trump. First he would have to designate a single Wyoming candidate he wants to support early, perhaps in the next few months. Then he would promote that single candidate and will come to Wyoming and hold a rallies for that candidate.
He will also send in surrogates like Donald Trump Jr. to stump for this mystery candidate.
And, he will open the floodgates of campaign money to support this one, single Republican candidate for U.S. House in the Wyoming primary again Liz.
This strategy will see this mystery candidate’s popularity grow as he or she travels the state pressing the flesh and slamming Cheney over the next 16 months. Much of that Trump money will be used to finance the best ground game the state has ever seen – this is where the campaign literally goes door-to-door convincing every Wyoming citizen one-on-one to support this person.
By the time August of 2022 comes around, the polls could show the race a dead heat. Then Trump will fly back into Wyoming to administer the coup de grace. On election day, the mystery candidate will have defeated Liz with 43,000 votes to her 42,000 votes with a group of wannabes picking up the other 15,000 votes.
So, who will be the mystery candidate?
State Sen. Anthony Bouchard of Cheyenne has already picked up some national money as he is going full-bore into an anti-Cheney campaign. As the founder of the WYGO (Wyoming Gun Owners) group, he has access to thousands of die-hard supporters.
Rep. Chuck Gray of Casper has created a flashy TV ad on YouTube and is running full-tilt.
State Rep. Ocean Andrew was thought to be the beneficiary of U. S. Rep. Matt Gaetz’s (R-Florida) anti-Cheney visit to Cheyenne recently. Not sure if he is running. Any Republican who can win a House seat in liberal Albany County has some pulling power.
Brian Miller of Sheridan touts his military credentials. He ran a statewide primary campaign last year for U. S. Senate that was won by Cynthia Lummis in a landslide.
Darin Smith of Cheyenne has run for U. S. House before and is popular statewide. He also was campaign manager for Foster Friess’ gubernatorial race in 2018, when Friess finished second to Mark Gordon in the GOP primary.
Jillian Balow has expressed some interest. She has handled a difficult time as Superintendent of Public Instruction.
Two smart guys from Jackson with access to big campaign money would be Dave Dodson and Bob Grady. Dodson ran hard against John Barrasso for the U.S. Senate seat a few years ago and has that experience behind him. Grady is well-connected and savvy.
Without Trump singling out one of these guys or gals out, all these candidates will then engage in the oh-so-common Republican firing squad. They get in a circle and start shooting. And Liz would emerge as a big winner in the end.
Whoever runs, Trump will need to open up his treasure chest. Cheney spent over $3 million last year defeating Democrat Lynnette Grey Bull. This was one of the highest amounts ever spent in a Wyoming race. Would a 2022 race cost $5 million? $10 million? We are seeing lots of anti-Cheney sentiment around the state but it will be to no avail without Donald Trump, himself, directing traffic.
Mitch Smith
March 8, 2021 at 9:00 am
Any other person than Cheney, she isn’t really a Wyoming resident anyway! Couldn’t even buy a Resident Fishing License. She allowed personal family conflicts with Trump and dick to sway her vote on impeachment, Vote for someone who the constituents of this State supported in general election , that was your responsibility liz, and you FAILED!
Dennis West
March 8, 2021 at 2:55 pm
Repeat: I don’t really care who runs against the congresswoman from Virginia. I know though that I will never vote for a republican again. They were willing to interfere with the peaceful transfer of power, interfere with democratic processes just to keep power, access to money, and status. Just fine with Barrasso and Lummis apparently – they say nothing. At least Cheney has some honor and respects the constitution and the union.
Fred Osborn
March 8, 2021 at 3:28 pm
Agreed.
Margaret Miech
March 9, 2021 at 8:32 am
As a democrat for 50+ years, I will never again support the democratic party . Too much deceit in our present Senate
Dennis West
March 9, 2021 at 12:19 pm
go ahead, please point that deceit out. I;m sure its on the same scale as the last administration and its senate supporters. Something about your comment seems a little fishy – democrat, 50+ years, in Wyoming!? Tell us about the misdeeds of McGee, Roncalio please. Sure you were watching then, eh?
Fred Osborn
March 8, 2021 at 3:26 pm
If anything,or anybody,needs to be made “an example of” it is the trump regime.America needs to rid itself of these types of people…before we all go down like the Titanic.
Thomas Jones
March 8, 2021 at 6:56 pm
Biden is a verified segregationist, Fred. Is that the type of person America should rally around?
Dennis West
March 9, 2021 at 8:15 am
Boy, I’d like to see the source of that allegation. Guess Clyburn of S Carolina should be clued in on it. I suspect you are just ignorant on this.
Thomas Jones
March 8, 2021 at 6:53 pm
Cheney won by name recognirion, and the fact that the primary was stacked with many candidates. That shouldn’t happen again or the result will be a Cheney victory. The repubs need to run just one candidate against her, no more.
Clark Guelde
March 9, 2021 at 7:36 am
Liz Cheney never met a war she didn’t support enough to send someone else’s kid to go fight. I realize a lot of liberals are infatuated with her because she stuck her finger in Trumps eye but that seems to me about as sensible as deciding you like Hitler because he built the Autobahn.
Dennis West
March 9, 2021 at 8:19 am
Yeah, you must be one of those people who think its okay to change the course of the US and interfere with the democratic and peaceful transfer of power. Sign up with Barrasso and Lummis – don’t protect the union, don’t be a patriot. If only everyone saw it your way things would be great, eh?
Clark Guelde
March 10, 2021 at 4:17 am
I’ll be honest after the rioting that went on all summer, the assaults in the streets, the burning of businesses, the destruction of monuments, when the riots came to the capital it didn’t really bother me much.
Fred Osborn
March 9, 2021 at 8:32 am
Seems you failed to mention,as do most Wyoming sheeplicans,that her pops was a war monger deluxe. Is there a cherry picking problem?
Clark Guelde
March 10, 2021 at 4:14 am
I didn’t care for her warmongering father either since you mentioned it. I didn’t feel the need to since the article isn’t about him.
Mak Kells
March 9, 2021 at 8:59 am
Well said Clark. She would not hesitate for a moment in sending
our sons and daughters to bleed and die on some God forsaken foreign soil.
Dennis West
March 9, 2021 at 12:23 pm
And the repub’s fearless leader was saved from the “fight communism in SE Asia” war (both parties by the way) by his heel spurs. Otherwise we know how brave and patriotic he coulda been. What a great leader.
Clark Guelde
March 10, 2021 at 4:26 am
I Think we’ve all had enough of what are now called the “forever wars”. Maybe if we had a draft they’d cool their warmongering heels a little bit.